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The Future Of Antarctica . . . Is Now!
Climate Change Must Be Addressed!

The 23rd anniversary season of the Antarctic Site Inventory launches shortly, capping a hugely successful and productive year for the nonprofit, non-advocacy, science, and education organization Oceanites . . .

November 17, 2016 – Washington, DC USA — In three days, the 23rd anniversary field season of Oceanites’ Antarctic Site Inventory begins onboard the One Ocean Expeditions ship Akademik Sergey Vavilov, with penguin-counting continuing through February 11, 2017. In 22 seasons, November 1994 to February 2016, the Antarctic Site Inventory has made 1,713 site visits and collected data at 223 Antarctic Peninsula locations, building a comprehensive database that everyone in the Antarctic Treaty system relies upon — from diplomats and governments, other Antarctic scientists, and the environmental community, to expedition tour operators and concerned citizens.

Oceanites and the Inventory represent the only non-governmental science project working in Antarctica and the only project monitoring and analyzing change across the vastly warming Antarctic Peninsula region. The Inventory would not succeed without the generous logistics support of One Ocean Expeditions, Inc. (Canada) and the full cooperation of the International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators (IAATO).

Championing science-based decision-making, this has been a successful year in which Oceanites has significantly advanced the conservation of Antarctic penguins and Antarctica itself.

In February/March 2016, Oceanites convened the inaugural Future of Antarctica Forum in the Peninsula onboard Akademik Ioffe, bringing together leading Antarctic stakeholders, including governments, NGOs, tour operators, fishing interests, and scientists, to discuss issues — particularly, climate change — that are of great concern to Antarctic Treaty countries and the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR), which oversees fishing activities in the Southern Ocean.

Oceanites accepted the challenge of Forum participants to establish an international, interdisciplinary effort to distinguish the direct and interactive effects of climate change, fishing, tourism, and national operations on the fragile Antarctic Peninsula ecosystem. To that end, the Norwegian fishing company Aker Biomarine, the largest krill fishing company operating in the region, has agreed to furnish its catch and effort data to Oceanites so it may independently analyze fishing activities vis-à-vis penguin breeding/foraging locations and climate change in the Antarctic Peninsula.

Ron Naveen, founder and president of Oceanites, hailed this progress:

As understood by all our Forum participants, the future of Antarctica is . . . now. Literally. The great continent of ice and its marine ecosystem are changing right before our eyes — and I am gladdened by the commitment of the fishing and tourism industries, governments, the scientific community, and environmental organizations to collaborate, bring resources together, and help Oceanites sort which climate-related and other effects are real and how they might be managed.”

Importantly, at the 35th CCAMLR meeting in October, Aker Biomarine and the Association of Responsible Krill Harvesters (ARK), whose operations comprise 80% of all krill fishing in the Antarctic Peninsula, announced an initiative to voluntarily avoid fishing where penguins are breeding or foraging. Oceanites is providing maps and penguin location reports to Aker Biomarine and ARK to assist this voluntary effort.

Webjørn Eikrem, president of ARK and the EVP Production and Supply Chain at Aker BioMarine said:

Respecting the ecosystem in which we fish is the best way we can ensure the future of our fishery. We are serious about taking responsibility for our Antarctic workplace and value the cooperation with Oceanites to ensure continued progress in conserving the Antarctic and Southern Ocean.”

Jane Rumble, UK CCAMLR Commissioner and Head of the UK Delegation to the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting commented:

Ongoing monitoring programmes are vital if we are to piece together how climate impacts upon penguins and other seabird species in Antarctica, and to ensure that human activities, including science, tourism and fishing, do not cause significant additional stresses. That is why the UK continues to support the work of Oceanites. Identifying critical risks to wildlife and managing human activities is a key responsibility of the Antarctic Treaty System, including helping to focus international commitments to ensure the protection of Antarctica’s unique wildlife.”

For more information, please contact:
Ron Naveen @ Oceanites
PHONE 202-237-6262
EMAIL oceanites@icloud.com

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gepe-pete

6:03pm, Thursday, October 27th.

I was “in the pews” at the old Hutchins School in Hobart (Tasmania, Australia), now the headquarters of the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR). This is the body that regulates fishing for Antarctic toothfish, marketed here as Chilean sea bass, and for krill, the shrimp-like crustacean I call the “power lunch of the Antarctic” because it’s the keystone prey item for penguins, whales, seals, and other fish.

The chair, Vasily Titushkin, returned from a coffee and tea break in the “chapel” adjoining the meeting room to announce that, finally, consensus had been reached on the Ross Sea Marine Protected Area proposal. Whoops, cries, applause, and sustained cheering rang out loudly and wildly, seemingly whisking away the five, angst-ridden years it had taken to protect these 1.55 million square kilometers of eastern Antarctic marine-scape representing more than 12 percent of the Southern Ocean. The agreement will last for 35 years and place 72% of this bio-diverse area fully off limits from any commercial fishing activity.

All 24 voting countries plus the European Union had to agree. A year ago, China came onboard, leaving the Russian Federation isolated as the only holdout. On Monday, phones buzzed further between Moscow and Washington, leading to Russia changing its position. Unexpectedly, however, Japan then insisted on a 20-year duration rather than the 50 years in the most recent U.S.-New Zealand proposal, and these dueling duration positions took three more days to resolve.

It was a special moment.

For Antarctica.

For marine protection worldwide.

And for all of us dreamers who have Antarctica deeply seeped inside.

CCAMLR meetings take place annually during the last two weeks of October. This year, in addition to the Ross Sea conservation measure, there also was agreement to 100% observer coverage in Antarctica’s krill fishery, potential research zones where ice sheets have retreated or collapsed, and a rollover for five years of narrowly drawn krill fishing limits in the Antarctic Peninsula on the western side of the continent. In addition, the Association of Responsible Antarctic Krill Harvesting Companies (ARK), consisting of five companies that control 80% of krill fishing in the Antarctic Peninsula, announced a voluntary plan to refrain from fishing near penguin colonies in this vastly warming region.
The Ross Sea MPA is the second that’s been established. Two more remain under discussion and a third is contemplated. Most critically, the Ross Sea MPA is strong evidence of CCAMLR working as its framers intended, conserving the precious waters surrounding a continent that’s as large as the U.S. and Mexico combined, and covered by a snow dome comprising 90% of the world’s ice and 70% of the world’s fresh water. The result also is testament to sustained diplomatic and scientific effort by President Obama, Secretary Kerry and the State Department’s Bureau of Oceans and International Environmental & Scientific Affairs, NOAA’s Antarctic Marine Living Resources Program, and New Zealand’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade.

But we’re not done. We can’t be.

The Antarctic Treaty, the short, 3-page “Magna Carta of Modern Times” that entered into force in 1961, set the great Seventh Continent aside for peace, science, and conservation, for all future generations. The convention establishing CCAMLR in 1982 was equally ambitious, focusing on conservation of Antarctica’s marine ecosystem, with the guiding principle of sanctioning human activities like fishing only if they maintained ecological relationships between harvested, dependent, and related populations of Antarctic marine living resources.

These regimes are lofty and inspirational, and they’ve guided me and my work over three decades monitoring penguin and seabird population changes in the western Antarctic Peninsula, where it’s warmed faster than any place else on the planet save the Arctic. From my vantage, this year’s very successful CCAMLR meeting spurs me — and should spur all of us — forward.

Antarctica instills humility. It’s a place that makes you think about the fragility of our planet and our own, comparative insignificance. There are reminders, constantly and everywhere. These days, I walk gravel beaches once covered by glaciers. I’ve seen seabird and penguin colonies disappear or dramatically shrink. In the Amundsen Sea, just south of where I count penguins, the collapsing Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers are undermining the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet, threatening, along with ice melt in Greenland, ominous sea level rise worldwide.

Is Antarctica Saved? No. Nor are we.

The world keeps changing and what happens in Antarctica affects all of us. The 3˚C./5˚F. warming already experienced in the Antarctic Peninsula is the same temperature increase Al Gore warned about 10 years ago in An Inconvenient Truth. In the Peninsula, two penguin species have declined dramatically, while a third is expanding its numbers and breeding range. Adaptation is obviously a key, but, when the warming comes our way and grossly interrupts our lives, there likely will be both “winners” and “losers.”

I am happy, greatly happy, for CCAMLR’s shining, memorable day and I hope this presages more courageous steps ahead. We, humbly, ride this planet and must continue battling to keep it from warming further, maintaining both our humility and an optimism that we can do better.

. . . Ron Naveen, founder/president of Oceanites, principal investigator of the Antarctic Site Inventory

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This has been a very memorable and exciting day in the history of CCAMLR — the Commission for Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources. Four key achievements have been advanced:

• Establishing the world’s largest marine protected area in the Ross Sea
• Establishing 100% observer coverage in the krill fishery
• Adopting a 5-year extension of existing krill fishing limits in the Antarctic Peninsula
• Enabling special scientific study areas where ice shelves have retreated or collapsed

Oceanites attended the meetings as an invited observer and submitted three papers for consideration. One concerned the outcomes of the first Future of Antarctica Forum that Oceanites convened and held onboard the One Ocean Expeditions vessel Akademik Ioffe from 28 February to 9 March 2016 in the Antarctic Peninsula, during which Oceanites and its 22-year-old of data’ Antarctic Site Inventory (ASI) project were challenged to establish a new, international interdisciplinary effort to examine climate change and fishing impacts on penguin populations in the Antarctic Peninsula.

A second paper described the ongoing development of the Mapping Application for Penguin Populations and Projected Dynamics tool (MAPPPD), which The Lynch Lab for Quantitative Ecology (Stony Brook University) and NASA have developed for Oceanites (www.penguinmap.com).

The third paper reported on the history and ongoing data collection of Oceanites and the ASI, and highlighted Oceanites’ recent agreement with the Norwegian company Aker BioMarine to independently analyse the company’s krill fishing catch/effort data vis-a-vis data on penguin breeding/foraging locations and climate change impacts in the Antarctic Peninsula.

During the course of CCAMLR 35, Oceanites began assisting the Association of Responsible Antarctic Krill Harvesting Companies (ARK), of which Aker Biomarine is a founding and leading member, in developing a voluntary plan to refrain from fishing nearby penguin colonies in the Antarctic Peninsula.

Ron Naveen, president and founder of Oceanites, said: “The conservation achievements at CCAMLR 35 are huge. The establishment of the Ross Sea MPA represents a most notable, excellent day in CCAMLR’s history. I hope that progress continues and I am especially excited about Oceanites’ forging the pathway ensuring that potential fishing impacts on Antarctic Peninsula penguin populations are either minimized or avoided altogether.”

A study reveals that the habitat of Antarctic krill could decline by the end of the 21st century due to warm water temperature.

Source: Antarctic Krill Habitat Could Decline By 2100 Due To Climate Change : Nature & Environment : Science World Report

A calving event at the Larsen C ice shelf could create a floating ice island the size of Delaware.

Source: A widening 80 mile crack is threatening one of Antarctica’s biggest ice shelves

Mapppdlogo copyThe penguin population tool — MAPPPD (Mapping Application for Penguin Populations and Projected Dynamics) — that the Lynch Lab @ Stony Brook University & the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) have developed for Oceanites is now live.

Go to: http://www.penguinmap.com

Ron Naveen, from Oceanites, explains:

“MAPPPD keeps Oceanites and the Antarctic Site Inventory on the ‘front lines’ of Antarctic science. I feel immensely responsible because the Inventory is the only project effectively monitoring penguins and flying bird population changes across the entirety of the vastly warming Antarctic Peninsula. But the key is that we’ve also taken on the challenge of sorting and distinguishing among the various, interactive effects of climate change, fishing, tourism, and other potential stressors in this sensitive ecosystem —  and MAPPPD helps us stay on the cutting edge.

“MAPPPD allows Oceanites and our Antarctic Site Inventory collaborators, and other researchers, instant access to the latest, most current data needed to analyze potential and detected changes in Antarctica. MAPPPD necessarily will assist ecosystem management in this fragile region. And no question, because the MAPPPD tool is publicly and freely available, it will immediately assist a wide range of Antarctic stakeholders, from governments and the Antarctic research community  to NGOs and the public at large. From this point forward, no one will be able say that we don’t know how Antarctic penguins are doing!”

Source: MAPPPD Home

Pelagornis_sandersi_artist_view-1200x900An ancient sea bird with a 21 foot wingspan and teeth made of bone was found in Antarctica

Source: Unbelievably Big Birds Called Antarctica Home 50 Million Years Ago – Forbes

UntitledAbout a third of Adelie penguin colonies in Antarctica could disappear in the next four decades due to human caused global warming, a…

Source: Antarctica Is Warming Quickly, And That’s Bad News For Penguin Colonies — ThinkProgress

UntitledAbout a third of Adelie penguin colonies in Antarctica could disappear in the next four decades due to human caused global warming, a…

Source: Antarctica Is Warming Quickly, And That’s Bad News For Penguin Colonies — ThinkProgress

Rapid-response teams of researchers analyze droughts and other extreme weather events to see if global warming played a role.

Source: Looking, Quickly, for the Fingerprints of Climate Change – The New York Times